On a full-year basis, total existing-home sales* ended at
5.34 million, the same level as in 2018, even though existing-home sales grew
in December, according to the National Association of Realtors®. Sales in the South were up 2.2%, offset by declines
in the West of 1.8%, declines in the Midwest 1.6%, while the Northeast remained
unchanged.
The median existing-home price in December was $274,500, up
7.8% from December 2018. Prices rose in every region. The price increase marks
94 straight months of year-over-year gains.
Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist, said home sales
fluctuated a great deal last year. “I view 2019 as a neutral year for housing in
terms of sales,” Yun said. “Home sellers are positioned well, but prospective
buyers aren’t as fortunate. Low inventory remains a problem.”
Total housing inventory at the end of December totaled
1.4 million units, down 8.5% from one year ago (1.5 million). The drop in
inventory accounts for most of the increase in prices as demand increases and
supply decreases, prices go up. There is
always a tipping point where the pricing growth may hit a wall and sellers need
to be realistic about this when pricing their home for sale this year.
First-time buyers were responsible for 31% of sales in
December. Individual investors or
second-home buyers, who account for many cash sales, purchased 17% of homes in
December 2019, up 15% year-over-year. All-cash sales were down in December, 20%
versus 22% in December 2018.
Yun said conditions for buying are favorable and will likely
continue in 2020. “We saw the year come to a close with the economy churning
out 2.3 million jobs, mortgage rates below 4% and housing starts ramp up to 1.6
million on an annual basis,” he said. “If these factors are sustained in 2020,
we will see a notable pickup in home sales in 2020.”
On the North Fork, there are very few new homes being built
and existing home sales account for most of our sales. With lower inventories, sellers
would be smart to list sooner and catch the early-bird buyers!
*Existing
home sales excludes new construction.
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